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sushi garden el paso

This is the aboriginal in a alternation allotment in a alternation by the Texas Tribune‘s Brandi Grissom analytical activity in three pairs of sister cities forth the Texas-Mexico bound and how association on both abandon of the bandage are afflicted by the blood-soaked biologic war. Texas on the Potomac is admiring to allotment this accomplished assignment with you.

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Three twentysomethings amplitude on stage, belting out a spirited, if off-key, adaptation of Abba’s “Dancing Queen.” A arranged army sings along, sipping beer and affair as the lyrics annal by on TV screens beyond the bar.

It’s a Thursday night during Holy Week, and this El Paso karaoke bar, Il Cantö, is one of several new nightclubs and restaurants bent with assemblage from both abandon of the Rio Grande. El Paso never acclimated to be so hip; the nightlife in Juárez, aloof beyond the border, had consistently outshined that of its analogously apparent sister city.

But as the aboriginal biologic war rages on there, both the fun and the business accept fled &#151 afterward the customers. Juarenses don’t go out at night. Tourists don’t appear at all. With the streets alone and their banknote registers quiet, abounding restaurant, bistro and small-business owners accept confused to El Paso, bringing the asleep burghal a active new ability and an bread-and-butter boost. In a adverse irony, a admeasurement of El Paso’s contempo affluence after-effects anon from the adversity of its sister city.

The bread-and-butter blow from Juárez refugees comes as El Paso reaps the adjustment from years of planning and argumentation for recognition. Some 24,000 new soldiers are affective to Fort Bliss, and a massive new medical circuitous is sprouting, forth with billions in basement to board the aberrant growth.

“While the blow of the country is calling this the ‘Great Recession,’ we’re calling it the ‘recession that’s authoritative us great,'” says El Paso Mayor John Cook.

But experts acquaint that El Paso leaders await on Juárez’s annihilation at their own peril. Ultimately, as Juárez goes, so goes El Paso, they say. If the Mexican city’s all-embracing maquila industry collapses, it could coffin a cogent allocation of El Paso’s newfound prosperity.

“El Paso had bigger be attractive at a abeyant resolution of the problems in Juárez,” says Tony Payan, a political science assistant at the University of Texas at El Paso, “because El Paso is abased on Juárez &#151 not the added way around.”

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Exodus

Since biologic abandon exploded in Juárez in 2008, at atomic 5,400 bodies accept been dead in the burghal of 1.3 million, according to the best contempo abstracts accessible from the Chihuahua accompaniment advocate general’s appointment in Mexico. It’s about absurd to absolutely calculation how abounding Juarenses accept fled, or to apperceive absolutely why, because the action in Juárez has accomplished a acme about accompanying with the access of a common recession.

Estimates of the Juárez departure ambit from about 100,000 to about a half-million. Outgoing Juárez Mayor Jose Reyes Ferriz says that as abounding as 20,000 homes in his burghal accept been abandoned. In the once-bustling Pronaf district, “se vende” (for sale) signs adhere from the bump of shuttered boutiques, restaurants and nightclubs. The aforementioned for-sale signs adhere from the barred windows of blueblood estates in the flush Campestre neighborhood. Reyes Ferriz estimates that about 100,000 bodies accept larboard Juárez. The ailing economy, he says, has apprenticed abroad added of them than the slaughter. “I anticipate aback they get the befalling to work, they’ll apparently be back,” he says. Added estimates, from UTEP’s Payan and a abstraction from the Universidad Autónoma de Ciudad Juárez, put the departure from Juárez at afterpiece to 500,000 bodies — about 40 percent of the population.

Before the circadian executions, Juárez was conceivably best accepted for its massive maquila industry. Factories that aftermath genitalia for American articles alignment from televisions to cars to computers apply bags of workers from both abandon of the border. About 100,000 workers per year already migrated from southern genitalia of Mexico to Juárez for branch work, Reyes Ferriz says. About two-thirds of Juárez residents, he says, were built-in achieve else. But aback the all-embracing abridgement soured, so did the maquilas. In a burghal that already boasted about no unemployment, Reyes Ferriz says, about 20 percent of Juarenses are out of work.

While some accept fled arctic to seek assurance and abundance in America, abounding added accept gone aback to their homes in southern Mexico, Reyes Ferriz says. There, they can acquisition abutment from the families they larboard behind.

Garden of eating

Before the bloodletting, aliment and ball provided addition agent for the Juárez economy, in places frequented by Americans, including abounding El Pasoans — who advised Juárez aloof addition adjacency in their binational community. Now, the faces that abide in the Mercado and Pronaf districts are primarily those of Juarenses. And they can be apparent alone in daylight.

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But at 9 o’clock on a Thursday night in El Paso’s Union Plaza, John Geske’s new restaurant, The Garden, teems with adolescent bodies sipping mojitos and margaritas and administration bright sushi rolls. The bandage plays a Sade awning as men in artist jeans and women in agleam acme tap out texts on smartphones. “We’ve acquired so abundant momentum,” Geske says, ambience abreast his beer to chat. Gone are the canicule aback Geske, like so abounding El Pasoans, partied in Juárez. “It’s like the wild, agrarian west over there,” he says.

That’s been acceptable for business here. Saturdays at The Garden are slammed, as is cafeteria every day. Even with the added traffic, though, Geske says restaurants and clubs in El Paso will never be able to carbon the nightlife in Juárez. Allotment of the attraction was the service, bred from a arrangement in which workers fabricated alone tips. Staff rushed to accessible doors and bang beginning drinks in advanced of barter afore they had to ask, a affluence El Paso business owners could never allow to recreate.

But that hasn’t slowed the blossom of El Paso’s nightlife. Flush clubs and restaurants like Maria Chuchena, Aroma and Il Cantö, accept confused from Juárez to El Paso. David Maese and his business accomplice bankrupt their karaoke bar in Juárez and reopened Il Cantö abreast the UTEP campus aftermost fall. The club plays about alone Mexican music — accouterment to the abounding Juarenses who now appear to El Paso to affair because it’s too alarming to adventure out at night at home. A few blocks abroad on Mesa Street is Aroma Restaurant, area Luis Martinez welcomes guests in the dark, candle-lit dining room. “Here in El Paso, abnormally for the restaurant business, it’s acceptable lately,” he says. “Any affectionate of business in Juárez is difficult to accomplish now.”

Executive immigration

The bread-and-butter addition transcends the affair scene, says Richard Dayoub, CEO of the Greater El Paso Chamber of Commerce. He estimates that about 30,000 Juarenses accept confused here. “They’re lawyers, accountants; they’re business owners who run their businesses by computer, by telephone, or both, and administer their operations from actuality for assurance reasons,” Dayoub says. Business owners can’t go to assignment in Juárez afterwards active the accident of accepting kidnapped or shot. And it’s not aloof the cartels. A accessory bent aspect has sprouted in the chaos, kidnapping and carjacking with dispensation while Mexican aggressive and badge are angry up angry (or allied with) the cartels. “That has become added than a cottage industry,” he says. “We’re talking about a lot of bodies and a lot of money.”

Cindy Ramos-Davidson, CEO of the El Paso Hispanic Chamber of Commerce, says she’s apparent about a 40-percent access in audience from all over Mexico. “We’re seeing a lot of family-owned companies that appetite to [move to the U.S.] for their families,” she says. Ramos-Davidson estimates she’s apparent about 400 new baby businesses, anniversary bringing about bristles to 10 job opportunities, admitting its cryptic whether the jobs are permanent. Abounding Mexican business owners, she says, are befitting their shops south of the river in hopes of abiding aback aegis and the abridgement there improve. “It’s not like El Paso is activity to be abased on Mexican business,” she says.

Meanwhile, El Paso enjoys an aberrant advance access for affidavit accepting annihilation to do with the troubles to the south. Some 24,000 new soldiers, forth with their families, are actuality stationed at the Army’s Fort Bliss. The abject was amid the better winners in the nation afterwards the 2005 Abject Realignment and Closure Commission’s accommodation to adapt aggressive armament about the world. The new troops will addition the base’s bread-and-butter appulse on El Paso from $1.5 billion per year to added than $5 billion.

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Another $1.5 billion in bread-and-butter impact, and some 500 new jobs, are accepted from the new four-year medical school, the Texas Tech University Paul L. Foster Academy of Medicine, area the aboriginal chic of doctors started academy aftermost fall. The burghal won accompaniment advance for the activity in 2007 afterwards about a decade of pressuring accompaniment lawmakers.

Because of its almost low unemployment and solid apartment market, El Paso was ranked the 11th best recession-resilient burghal in America by the Brookings Institute aftermost month. The new troops and their families, forth with the Juárez refugees, Dayoub says, abounding apartments to a 98-percent control rate, and the burghal needs some 6,000 units to board new residents. “Sadly, it’s been acceptable for El Paso at the amount of Mexico, and I beggarly that sincerely. I anticipate it’s tragic,” Dayoub says. “It’s antibacterial their economy, and, about inadvertent, about unintended, there’s a absolute account to El Paso’s economy.”

Intertwined fates

That account is adamantine to quantify, but best accede it represents a abundant agency in a abundant beyond expansion. “It’s temporary, it’s fractional — and it’s rather baby compared to how El Paso would accumulation if Juárez anytime recovered,” says UTEP’s Tony Payan. He worries that the abandon will advance to a collapse of the maquilas in Juárez. The burghal has 300 accomplishment accessories that accomplish genitalia and products, primarily for U.S. companies. About a division of all barter amid the U.S. and Mexico crosses through the El Paso/Juárez bound ports, according to the El Paso Regional Bread-and-butter Development Corporation. The maquilas active added than 168,000 workers from both abandon of the bound in 2006. Since then, though, the accessories accept laid off some 40,000 to 60,000 workers. “When that industry collapses, again El Paso is abject down,” Payan says.

But that’s not acceptable to happen, says Alan Russell, admiral and CEO of Tecma Group, which has 4,000 advisers in 20 maquilas in four Mexican cities, including Juárez. Job losses at the facilities, he says, accept annihilation to do with the Mexican biologic war and aggregate to do with the U.S. bread-and-butter downturn. About one-third of the maquilas in Juárez aftermath genitalia for the U.S. automotive industry. “There’s an old adage that aback the U.S. gets a cold, Mexico gets the flu,” Russell says. “But the U.S. got worse than a cold, so the bread-and-butter appulse in Mexico has aloof been horrific.”

Maquila advisers accept not been the targets of bunch violence, Russell says. Unlike abounding baby business owners, maquila owners don’t alive in Juárez, so they can’t be calmly followed and extorted. It helps, too, that the companies are primarily American-owned, authoritative abyss alert of abeyant repercussions. What’s more, the factories are abating some of their workforce, now that the U.S. abridgement has started to recover. Russell hopes an bread-and-butter upturn in Juárez will eventually advice abate the bloodshed. If added bodies accept jobs and abiding income, Russell says, beneath will about-face to the biologic trade. Aback that happens, Juarenses will acknowledgment home, and they’ll accompany aback with them that absonant nightlife, those acclaimed restaurants and the cultural and bread-and-butter allowances that accept migrated beyond the bound to El Paso. “Everything goes in cycles,” he says.

This cycle, though, may booty some time to run its course, says UTEP’s Payan. As continued as the cartels action one addition and the government to bottle their biologic profits, and as continued as the Mexican government proves blank to stop them, the action will continue. “The burghal will accept to be rebuilt from the arena up,” he says, “and hopefully Juarenses accept adventuresomeness to clean it.”

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