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If you appetite to apperceive how able-bodied a affiliate of the aldermanic administration is fairing, analysis their fingernails. Inspect the cuticles. Peer at the epidermis. Any hangnails? Are they in charge of a manicure?

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Former Senate Majority Baton Trent Lott, R-Miss, knows a lot about the rigors of confined in aldermanic leadership.

And political palmistry.

“I kept noticing, I kept accepting these ridges on my fingernails,” said Lott during a appointment to the Capitol this week.

Lott approved out a doctor.

“I said, ‘What is this?’ He said, ‘Well, that’s stress,’ ” said Lott, abandoning the conversation.

We already knew that candidates gluttonous a advance in the House Republican administration ranks were aggressive tooth and attach afterwards Apostle John Boehner, R-Ohio, appear his resignation.  Perhaps with an accent on the nail. This brings a accomplished new circuit to the appellation “nail biter.”

Lott was a affiliate of the House or Senate administration for about 17 of the 34 years he served in Congress. He served as House boyhood whip, Senate majority whip, Senate majority leader, Senate boyhood leader, Senate majority baton (again) afore complete his bout as Senate boyhood whip.

And Lott lived the perils of leadership. There’s the pressure. The second-guessing. The infighting. Every chat scrutinized and parsed. It’s a lot like the accepted firestorm abashing House Majority Baton Kevin McCarthy, a California Republican and the frontrunner to accomplish Boehner.

McCarthy appropriate on the Fox News Channel that House Republicans empaneled the chamber’s Select Board on Benghazi carefully to annihilate the presidential aspirations of Democrat Hillary Clinton. And that beatific the House into a tizzy.

McCarthy’s band was an offhanded animadversion like the one that swatted Lott from his majority baton branch in December 2002.

It was the 100th altogether affair in the Dirksen Senate Office Building for the late-Sen. Strom Thurmond, R-S.C.  Thurmond approved the admiral in 1948 on the Dixiecrat admission that championed state’s rights and segregation.

“When Strom Thurmond ran for president, we voted for him,” Lott opined at the Thurmond soiree. “We’re appreciative of it. And if the draft of the country had followed our lead, we wouldn't accept had all these problems over the years, either,”

Lott’s credible abetment of Thurmond’s once-segregationist backroom torpedoed him from the majority leader’s apartment by Christmas.

“It’s airy back you are in the administration in the House and Senate,” Lott said.

He says back you serve in leadership, addition is consistently advancing for you. Consistently putting you on the spot. He anecdotal efforts of political foes who arrested into the allegiance of his alliance and his claimed finances.

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“What did they assuredly get me with? My own words,” Lott exclaimed.

Lott’s run in administration in both the House and Senate is arresting because of its longevity. But you can’t abstain the controversy.

“In the leadership, you booty on barnacles like a address at sea and they alpha to weight you bottomward afterwards battle,” he said. “Once you get in the leadership, there ain’t no such affair as purity.”

This is why there is animosity in the Republican ranks over McCarthy. The House Republican Appointment will vote abaft bankrupt doors on Thursday to tap a speaker-designate.

But it’s the abounding House that elects the speaker. House rules behest that the acknowledged applicant command not aloof the best votes -- but an complete majority of those casting ballots.

Upon Boehner’s resignation, the House will accept 434 seats. That agency the abracadabra cardinal -- if anybody votes for a applicant by name -- is 218. With 246 Republicans in the House by that point, the abutting GOP Apostle can alone lose 28 votes.

Boehner absent 25 Republicans in the January apostle vote. Anticipate those who voted for addition besides Boehner aren’t added revved up now than they were over the winter?

“Nobody has 218 today for speaker,” said Rep. Tim Huelskamp, a Kansas Republican and about an afraid articulation back it comes to the GOP leadership. In January, Huelskamp casting his apostle election for Rep. Dan Webster, a Florida Republican who is active again.

Huelskamp says Republicans are watching McCarthy carefully afterwards the Benghazi declaration.

“Those comments were not helpful,” he said. “I don’t anticipate that got him one vote.”

Another GOP antecedent who asked not to be articular said some Republicans are attractive for an “excuse” to vote adjoin McCarthy. And they may accept begin it.

“Kevin is ambidextrous with some actual attenuate margins on the floor” in the speakership vote, said Rep. David Jolly , R-Fla., abacus the Benghazi animadversion “took its toll.”

“It would be helpful, accustomed the way (McCarthy’s Benghazi animadversion were) interpreted if the majority baton antiseptic his remarks,” said Rep. Scott Rigell, R-Va., who additionally voted for Webster in January.

McCarthy approved to do aloof that Thursday night during an actualization on Fox’s “Special Report with Bret Baier.”

“I did not intend to betoken in any way that the assignment (of the Benghazi Committee) was political,” McCarthy said.

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Congressional assemblage about panned McCarthy’s appearance, adage it bootless to apple-pie up the mess. One GOP antecedent appropriate that McCarthy had bootless one of his aboriginal tests as a apostle candidate. Back asked if he had the all-important 218 votes, McCarthy replied “We’re actual close, yes.”

A abortion to defended 218 votes on the aboriginal election for apostle would be a draft to McCarthy  -- alike if he’s ultimately successful.

A additional or third election for apostle anon diminishes his political prowess. It exposes vulnerabilities and reflects the animation of House Republicans. No vote for apostle has gone to a additional election back 1923. And if McCarthy does appear the victor, it ability not be for long.

“If he’s lucky, he gets a two-week honeymoon,” said one chief Republican.

“I accord him six months,” augured one lawmaker.

On Wednesday, the House voted to abstain a government shutdown. Alone 91 Republicans voted yes. Democrats, as is accepted these canicule in the House, agitated the way with 186 yeas. McCarthy voted aye. Webster voted nay. Some conservatives beheld that cycle alarm account as a accessible litmus analysis for speaker.

Oh. And House Oversight Board Administrator Jason Chaffetz, R-Utah, voted nay.

Chaffetz is now tinkering with active for speaker, potentially abolition the absolute race. Earlier in the week, he alleged for McCarthy to apologize for what he said about Benghazi. He additionally advocated Benghazi board Administrator Trey Gowdy, R-S.C., for majority leader.

Chaffetz ability not be able to command added votes than McCarthy in the closed-door appointment vote or on the floor. But he can abash the absolute accompaniment of affairs.

To wit: The election for apostle in the Republican assembly is secret. But the GOP announces the vote tallies. How can Republicans advance to a vote for apostle after this ages if McCarthy or anyone abroad receives beneath than 218 backers in the appointment meeting?

Moreover, audacious McCarthy commands the best votes for apostle in the conference, how can Republicans anon vote for a -to-be abstraction in the majority leader’s aperture back it’s not bright that the accepted majority baton has the votes to abound in the apostle vote the floor?

No one has the answers to these questions appropriate now.

There’s a acumen why added GOP stalwarts like House Ways and Agency Board Administrator Paul Ryan, Wisconsin; Banking Services Board Administrator Jeb Hensarling, Texas;  and alike Gowdy aren’t advancing any administration position now.

“Where’s the varsity?” asked one House Republican.

Here’s the answer.

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“This isn’t a acquiescent appointment appropriate now,” said one House Republican. “We’re too fratricidal.”

In added words, admired assembly aren’t advancing a position in the GOP ranks because the rank-and-file will eat them animate -- conceivably immediately.

On Friday, Treasury Secretary Jack Lew beatific a letter to Congress, allurement assembly to accession the debt beam by November 5.

“Without acceptable cash, it would be absurd for the United States of America to accommodated all of its obligations for the aboriginal time in our history,” Lew posited.

An access in the debt absolute is one of the most-toxic votes a affiliate of Congress can take. A abortion to do so could alarm into catechism the credit-worthiness of the U.S. to say annihilation of triggering a all-around banking shock.

Anyone in administration -- or advancing administration -- is on the hottest of seats appropriate now.

So why would McCarthy put himself through this?

“It was the alone adventitious he has to be speaker, if alone for a abbreviate aeon of time,” one administrator said.

And what about those casual on a administration bid now?

“Kevin McCarthy has had this befalling casting aloft him and he knows it will abbreviate his career,” said Rep. Jeff Fortenberry, R-Neb. “It could be apparent as an act of abasement and administration character.”

With such a boisterous group, how could anyone run the House with authority? If the alcove does accept McCarthy, Trent Lott thinks he knows how he would succeed.

“He formed with Bill Thomas, the most-impossible being to assignment for,” said Lott with a laugh.

Thomas is the above House Ways and Agency Board chairman. McCarthy served as Thomas’s top abettor in his California aldermanic district. McCarthy won Thomas’s aldermanic bench back his coach retired. Thomas was acute as a whip and wielded a abiding duke on the House’s tax-writing panel. He was additionally accepted for antic one of the best acerbic, abrasive temperaments of any administrator in the House.

McCarthy’s attributes is a arctic adverse of Thomas’s. McCarthy is genial. A backslapper. Inviting. Non-confrontational. Funny. Some ask if that’s what the House needs now. Can McCarthy comedy boxy with Tea Affair lawmakers? Will he aloof go-along-to-get-along with Republicans, agreeable above standoffs on key issues this fall. Can he batten with Democrats, namely House Boyhood Baton Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif.

“She goes for the annihilate back she senses weakness,” said one lawmaker. “You can’t appearance weakness with her.”

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So why would anyone appetite this job, be it McCarthy, Webster or Chaffetz? Why would House Majority Whip Steve Scalise, R-La., or Budget Board Administrator Tom Price, R-Ga., appetite to accomplish McCarthy as majority leader?

And how abundant accent are they under? Analysis their fingernails.



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